Markets for everyone
Freedom
to forecast.
Millions of us use prediction markets to forecast what's next. Now, special interests are pressuring states to shut these markets down. We won't let them restrict the free flow of information — or our freedom to trade.
Join now
Join the fight for prediction markets
Your access to these markets may now depend on the state you live in. Add your info to become a Freedom to Forecast supporter, and we'll keep you posted on how to get involved.
Markets poweredby people
1Your view counts
Have a read on the economy, an election, the weather? Prediction markets let you put it on the record, federally regulated with strong protections.
2The crowd decides
When thousands of people put money to a view, those judgments resolve into a single price. It is public and moves the moment new information arrives.
3Now it's at risk
Whether you can keep taking part may now depend on which state you live in. A state-by-state patchwork puts that transparency and fairness at risk.
Exchanges let you take control.The incumbents feel threatened.
You set the price, not the house
Prices move in real time as buyers and sellers trade, and anyone can see it happen. No house sets the odds behind closed doors.
Casinos protecting their monopoly
Prediction markets are federally regulated, just like other financial products. The gambling industry has pushed back unfairly for one reason: the money isn't going to them.
States have billions on the line
States make billions in taxes from licensed gambling. Competition from these markets puts that at risk, giving states an incentive to protect the status quo.
Is my state next?
Rules being written in these states right now will decide who can use prediction markets and what protections come with them. From California to Connecticut, regular people are fighting back.
Who pays the price
1Everyday people
Millions of people already use these markets under rules they trust. Whether they can keep doing that shouldn't depend on their state.
2Businesses
Mom and pop shops to financial trading firms use these markets to manage risk. That only works if the rules are the same in every state.
3The public
Journalists, researchers, policymakers, and more rely on these forecasts. Broader participation keeps them accurate.
A market divided knows less
Accuracy comes from numbers
Open, fair markets need a large and varied crowd. When states restrict access, the crowd shrinks and the forecast gets less effective.
One rulebook for everyone
Under federal rules, every person trades on the same terms with the same protections. A patchwork of restrictions reduces fairness and creates risk.
A ban doesn't end demand. It moves it.
Bans push people toward offshore platforms that answer to no American regulator and offer none of the same protections.
The facts they can't ignore
Polls missed it
In 2024, market prices favored the eventual presidential winner while most polls showed a toss-up. View Source
Economists use them
The Fed compared these markets to forecaster surveys and futures pricing. The markets did as well or better. View Source
Adults want agency
67% of voters said adults should have the freedom to decide whether to participate in prediction markets. View Source
Not just Wall Street
Small businesses are starting to use these markets to hedge risks only large financial firms could do before. View Source
Contact your representative
The future of prediction markets is being decided right now — reach out to your representative so they hear from people like you, not just lobbyists.
Coming soon
Town halls near you
Events are coming to your state. Join your neighbors, meet fellow supporters, and make your voice heard.